Most polls have showed that the Democratic nominee will win in November. But there is another kind ofprediction: John McCain is at nearly even odds to win the popular vote, at a 46% likelihood. This is actually from the latest data of Iowa Electronic Markets, where traders place their money. Perhaps such predictions by large [...]
Filed under: Campaign 2008, John McCain | Tagged: Intrade, Iowa Electronic Markets, James Surowiecki, John McCain, The Wisdom of Crowds | Leave a Comment »
